--- title: "HomePod, Alexa, and the voice-UI moment." date: 2017-11-14 url: https://remiam.co.uk/notes/homepod-and-the-voice-ui-moment tags: [Voice UI, Apple, Alexa, Brand, Smart Speakers] read_time_minutes: 8 description: "Notes on Apple HomePod, Amazon Alexa, Google Home and the 2017 voice-UI moment — what brands should actually build for voice, what they shouldn't, and where the platform is heading." --- # HomePod, Alexa, and the voice-UI moment. *Published 2017-11-14 · 8 min read · by Liam (Remiam)* Apple finally ships its smart speaker. Amazon has had Alexa for three years. Every brand we work with is asking about voice. After a year of building Alexa skills and watching client expectations evolve, here is the honest playbook. Apple announced HomePod earlier this year and the speaker ships in December. Amazon now sells five different Echo devices. Google Home is in real homes. Sonos has joined the party with Alexa-enabled speakers. Every brand brief we've had this quarter has included the words 'and a voice app'. The voice-first hype cycle has fully arrived. We've spent the year building Alexa skills and prototyping for Google Assistant. Here's the honest field report — what works, what doesn't, what the platforms actually look like under the marketing, and what we tell clients when they ask 'do we need a voice app?'. ## The smart-speaker market right now | Device | Assistant | Launch / £ | Strength | Weakness | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Amazon Echo (1st & 2nd gen) | Alexa | 2014 / £89-149 | Vast skill ecosystem, third-party openness | Mediocre audio, Amazon-account lock-in | | Amazon Echo Dot | Alexa | 2016 / £49 | Cheap, ubiquitous in UK homes | Tiny speaker, niche use cases only | | Google Home | Google Assistant | 2016 / £129 | Best natural-language understanding | Smaller skill ecosystem | | Google Home Mini | Google Assistant | 2017 / £49 | Direct Echo Dot competitor | Recent privacy mis-step at launch | | Apple HomePod | Siri | Dec 2017 / £319 | Best audio quality by a wide margin | Most limited assistant, Apple-only ecosystem | | Sonos One | Alexa (Google later) | 2017 / £199 | Premium audio, multi-assistant | Higher price than entry-level competitors | *Smart-speaker landscape, November 2017.* ## What clients keep asking for - An Alexa skill that lets users do what the website does, by voice. - A voice-driven brand 'experience' that gets press attention. - Some kind of Siri integration that we have to gently tell them isn't really a thing yet — HomePod is closed to developers at launch. - A voice version of their customer-service chatbot. - Voice ordering for e-commerce. - 'Skills the kids will use' — usually trivia games or audio stories. ## What we keep telling them - Voice is excellent for narrow, deliberate transactions — playing music, setting timers, asking for facts, simple commerce. - Voice is bad at discovery. Nobody finds a brand by saying 'Alexa, what's a good Italian restaurant chain to order from'. - If your product has visual states the user needs to compare, voice loses to a screen every time. - Building a skill for press, not users, is expensive. The reviews never go well. - Skill discoverability is broken — even the Amazon Skill Store is hard to browse, and almost no one browses it. - Retention is dire. Industry data suggests around 3% of Alexa skills are used regularly after install. > Voice is an interface, not a category. The brands that succeed in voice in five years will be the ones whose products have always been ambient — music, weather, simple commerce. The brands that try to 'have a voice strategy' will quietly retire them in 2020. ## Where voice actually earns its keep right now - Smart-home control. Lights, thermostats, locks. The defining use case of the category. - Hands-busy tasks. Cooking, driving, cleaning, exercising. The user is occupied and a screen would be inconvenient. - Simple information. Weather, sports scores, currency conversion. The answer is short; the question is well-defined. - Reorder / repeat purchases. Amazon's own data shows the highest voice-purchase rates are reorders, not new product discovery. - Audio entertainment. Music, podcasts, audiobooks. The platform is the product. ## What does not work yet - Anything requiring nuance — booking a complicated appointment, comparing five options, undoing a mistake. - Multi-turn conversations beyond two or three exchanges. Users give up. - Voice as a primary commerce channel. The repeat ordering works; new discovery doesn't. - Skills that need authentication. Account linking in voice is awful in 2017. - Anything where misunderstanding the user has expensive consequences — medical, financial, legal. ## Where to start, if you must Pick a single, narrow transaction your customers already do every day. Build that one thing to a polished standard. Don't build a 'voice version of the website'. Be honest about your audience. If your buyer is over 55 and lives in a flat in central London, very few of them own an Echo. If your buyer is 30-45 with kids and a house in the suburbs, smart speakers are increasingly real. Voice-strategy decisions need to be downstream of actual customer ownership data, not the CES news cycle. ## Our prediction for the next three years - Voice UI becomes ambient and useful, not a destination. Two-thirds of UK households will have at least one smart speaker by 2020. - Apple's HomePod will sell well to existing Apple households and never crack the broader market. - Amazon dominates US homes; Google catches up by being baked into Android phones; Apple stays in third. - Most brand-driven voice 'experiences' will be quietly retired by 2020. The successful voice integrations will be invisible — your washing machine talks back, your car answers questions, your TV listens. - Voice commerce remains a small fraction of overall e-commerce. The percentage of total revenue from voice will be measured in low single digits for the foreseeable future. Voice UI becomes ambient and useful, not a destination. Three years from now it'll be a layer of every product, not a category of its own. Build accordingly — and don't ship the voice version of your website. ## References 1. [Alexa Skills Kit — Amazon developer documentation](https://developer.amazon.com/en-US/alexa/alexa-skills-kit) 2. [Apple HomePod — product page](https://www.apple.com/homepod/) 3. [Google Assistant — developer site](https://developers.google.com/assistant)